Key Takeaways:
Since trade relations between the U.S. and China deteriorated in 2018 and soon after the arrival of COVID-19 in 2020, numerous companies have been reviewing their outsourcing strategies. As a result, businesses are looking to nearshore their operations to the Western Hemisphere.
As evidence of this current trend, consider some statistics from a survey conducted by Kearney from 2021:
As these numbers show, many businesses have considered nearshoring as their new outsource strategy. A new survey from the ABB Group reflects a similar trend.
Surveys conducted by Axios between the years 2020 and 2023 show how much nearshoring has grown in popularity amongst companies. In these surveys, supply chain leaders were asked if their companies took steps to implement nearshore production.
Year | Percentage of Respondents That Took Nearshoring Action |
2020 | 15 % |
2021 | 11 % |
2022 | 17% |
2023 | 42% |
Provided by Axios
As the nearshoring data from Axios and other officials show, this outsourcing strategy is continuing to grow in popularity amongst various companies and industries.
While there are many countries in the Western hemisphere where businesses can conduct nearshore operations, Mexico has emerged as the most popular. In 2023, Mexico surpassed China as the U.S.’s top trading partner. During this year, there was a demand in audits and inspections in Mexico that showed a +17% year-over-year growth.
It’s not quite known how U.S. nearshoring will impact this country, but there are some positive projections.
Although these are only projections, there are some findings that show Mexico has already received unique benefits from U.S. nearshoring operations. S&P Global has obtained some insightful statistics from a survey they conducted with 350 manufacturers in Mexico.
Sector | Amount of Sales Growth* |
Textiles & Clothing | 45% |
Coke & Petroleum | 33% |
Leather & Leather Products | 31% |
Wood & Wood Products | 28% |
Paper & Paper Products | 27% |
Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals | 25% |
Transport Equipment | 25% |
Electrical & Electronic Equipment | 23% |
Mineral Products | 20% |
F&D, Tobacco | 15% |
Machinery N.E.C. & Repair | 15% |
Other Manufacturing | 13% |
Metals & Metal Products | 9.5% |
Rubber & Plastics | 7% |
Provided by S&P Global *percentages are approximations of large scale data
As U.S. nearshoring operations continue in Mexico, the country’s economy will only grow and manufacturers will see increased sales. Despite the economic expansion that’s already taken place thanks to this outsourcing method, the U.S. is only nearshoring in a few Mexican states.
Mexican States | Nearshoring Project |
Nuevo León | 30 |
Coahuila | 17 |
Guanajuato | 10 |
Chihuahua | 5 |
San Luis Potosí | 3 |
Jalisco | 3 |
Provided by Deloitte
As nearshoring grows in Mexico, it’s likely that operations will spread out to other states in the country.
Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) will increase in Mexico as nearshoring operations grow. The U.S. sent $13.5 billion worth of FDI funds to Mexico, with $5.44 billion of it going to Mexico’s automotive industry in 2023
FDI funds for manufacturing have also risen in certain Mexican sectors between the years 2018 and 2023, as the following data shows.
These statistics prove there’s a strong interest amongst U.S. companies in numerous Mexican industries.
Compared to other countries in Latin America, there are a few reasons why Mexico is a more appealing place to outsource compared to China. For one, labor costs in Mexico are considerably lower.
Year | Chinese Labor Costs Per Hour | Mexican Labor Costs Per Hour |
2016 | $4.99 | $3.82 |
2017 | $5.21 | $4.16 |
2018 | $5.51 | $4.45 |
2019 | $5.78 | $4.66 |
2020 | $6.5 | $4.82 |
Provided by Statista
While many industries outsource to China, the costs to hire Mexican companies to perform the same tasks are slightly lower. Not only are labor costs cheaper in Mexico, but the workforce is reliable.
According to ManpowerGroup’s Total Workforce Index (TWI), Mexico ranks in 9th place amongst 60 countries. The TWI also includes some additional data on the country’s workforce.
These metrics combined gave Mexico a total score of 2.50, with the U.S. having the highest score, 2.90. Another feature that makes the nation an appealing for nearshore business is due to how efficient it is to import from there to the United States. For one, shipping costs are much cheaper compared to China.
Manufacturing growth in Mexico has also made it an attractive place to conduct nearshoring. Here are stats on the development of certain sectors between the years 2018 and 2023.
In addition to these benefits, rent for industrial space in Mexico is 15% less expensive than in China. With so many advantages present, it’s no surprise this Latin American country has become an appealing location for U.S. nearshoring.
Mexico isn’t the only country where there’s nearshoring potential for U.S. companies. There are other nations in Latin America that have yet to be tapped into. According to a report released by the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and Ipsos, 99% of small to medium-sized enterprises (SME) and 93% of large companies find countries in the Americas appealing for logistics purposes.
The Center for Strategic & International Studies (CSIS) has generated estimates on the projected gains Central American countries could experience thanks to U.S. nearshoring.
Country | Projected Gains |
Guatemala | $436.4 Million |
Belize | $5.9 Million |
El Salvador | $686.4 Million |
Honduras | $745.1 Million |
Nicaragua | $473.3 Million |
Costa Rica | $918.1 Million |
Panama | $81.3 Million |
Provided by the Center for Strategic & International Studies
Central American countries aren’t the only ones who will benefit from U.S. nearshoring. These nations and the United States also participate in the Central American Free Trade Agreement (CAFTA-DR). This will make it cheaper for businesses to import certain products.
There are opportunities to build from the ground up as these countries look to take advantage of the current trade situation between the U.S. and China. Local governments are focused on making their nations appealing to large regional investors, especially those from places like the U.S. and Canada.
Due to its larger size and more established infrastructure, South America offers further opportunities for North American businesses and investors. Between available exports and rising manufacturing capabilities, significant growth is projected.
Country | Projected Value of Exports |
Chile | $1.82 Billion |
Argentina | $3.90 Billion |
Uruguay | $528 Billion |
Paraguay | $251 Billion |
Bolivia | $125 Billion |
Peru | $1.41 Billion |
Ecuador | $841 Billion |
Brazil | $7.84 Billion |
Colombia | $2.57 Billion |
Venezuela | $321 Billion |
Guyana | $400 Billion |
Suriname | $58 Billion |
Provided by Bloomberg Linea
Similar to Central America, the U.S. has established different free trade agreements (FTA) with various nations in South America, including Chile. .
Not to me forgotten are the islands of the Caribbean. Though most people may only think of them as vacation destinations, there are a variety of other business opportunities if you know where to look.
The current top candidates for nearshoring activities are the Dominican Republic and the U.S. commonwealth of Puerto Rico.
If U.S. companies conduct nearshoring operations in the Caribbean, it could also increase the amount of exports coming from some of these nations.
Country | Projected Amount of Exports |
Dominican Republic | $1.58 Billion |
Hati | $253 Billion |
Barbados | $61 Billion |
Jamaica | $139 Billion |
The Bahamas | $177 Billion |
Provided by Bloomberg Linea
Unlike Latin America, nearshoring operations in the Caribbean would be exceptionally close to businesses and ports operating off the Gulf Coast. Additionally, the U.S. has different FTAs with countries in this region, such as the U.S. Caribbean Basin Trade Partnership Act and CAFTA-DR with the Dominican Republic.
The nearshoring statistics we’ve provided have revealed some useful insights that you can use to decide if this outsourcing strategy is a good idea for your business. If you choose to nearshore, then let Product Distribution and Strategy help with your logistics operations.
We can help you by offering these services:
With our transportation expertise, we can help you with moving your goods and services from nearshore countries. Get started by filling out your consulting session, or call our team at (866) 989-3082 to learn more about the services we can offer.
Richard Howell and Stephanie Overby, Evaluating Nearshoring? Here are Five Realities, Kearney, 2023
ABB Group, Surv: 70% of U.S. Businesses Eye Reshoring and Nearshoring Plans, 2022
Kate Marino, Share of Companies Nearshoring Their Supply Chain This Year — Survey, Axios, 2023
Qima, Nearshoring In Mexico On the Rise: Mexico Overtakes as US’s Leading Trade Partner, 2024
Time Doctor, Outsourcing To Mexico: Benefits, Challenges, Tips, 2023
Statista, Manufacturing Labor Costs Per Hour for China, Vietnam, Mexico from 2016 to 2020, 2024
ManpowerGroup, Total Workforce Index 2022 Global Analysis, 2022
Novalink, Is It Cheaper To Manufacture In Mexico Than In China?, 2023
Gail, Shipping From Mexico To USA: Procedure, Costs, and Customs, ExpatDen, 2023
Noe Torres, Mexican Businesses Warmed by Glow of “Nearshoring” Dawn, Reuters, 2023
Morgan Stanley, Mexico Is Poised To Ride the Nearshoring Wave, 2023
Rob Graver, Mexico Unseats China As Top Exporter To US, VOA News, 2024
Daniel Zaga, Alessandra Ortiz, Nearshoring In Mexico, Deloitte Insights, 2023
MND Staff, Foreign Direct Investment In Mexico’s Auto Industry Surges, Mexico News Daily, 2023
Data Mexico, United States, 2024
Joe Beckford, Renewable Energy and Nearshoring: the Caribbean’s Dual Investment Opportunities, 2023